In this exclusive preview we will look at Elena
Rybakina and Iga Swiatek facing eachother for the first time in a final on
Saturday, February 17, at the WTA 1000 Qatar Open.
Two of the main dominators
of the Tour in the past year will now meet for the sixth time.
The official head-to-head
record favours the Kazakh 3-1. Rybakina also won their last three meetings. Oddly enough, the bookies have placed the Polish World No.1 as the favourite. We think this will be a close battle (see prediction below).
The former
Wimbledon champion Rybakina has had an impeccable year with a 15-2 record in 2024. She also won 2 titles in just 4 tournaments. She secured the Brisbane International and won the
Abu Dhabi Open last week.
Rybakina
leads in victories, currently enjoying an 8-match winning streak. Moreover, few
players can boast a favorable head-to-head against Swiatek. Only
Maria Sakkari
has a positive record with at least three victories over Swiatek, albeit in
five matches (60%). Until now, no player has surpassed the Polish player in
five encounters, a streak that could change this Saturday at the hands of
Rybakina.
Considering
that this is the first final between the two players, Swiatek can boast much
greater success in this stage. The Polish player has won 17 titles in 21 finals
(81%), while Rybakina managed 7 titles in 16 finals (44%).
The current
world No. 1 has been relentless in Doha, with an 11-match winning streak and
winning the last 21 sets played in the tournament. Swiatek is just one match
away from claiming her third consecutive title at the
Qatar Open. If Swiatek wins she becomes the most successful champion in the history of the tournament.
The
finalists' journey to the Qatar Open Final
Rybakina
arrived after an intense week in Abu Dhabi and debuted just two days after
lifting the trophy, showcasing great form against Zhu Lin (6-2, 6-1). Her next
opponent was the 16th seed Emma Navarro, who pushed her to the third set (6-1,
6-7, 6-4). Her following victims were two former Grand Slam finalist: Leylah
Fernandez (6-4, 6-2) and
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (6-2, 6-4). Her problem might be, going into this final, fatigue. The so-called IceQueen will be playing her ninth match in ten days. Will she still have the energy after this brutal sequence of playing so many consecutive matches?
On the
other hand, Swiatek comes in fresher. It is her first tournament since the
Australian Open. This means she entered the tournament three weeks after her
elimination in Melbourne. The 4-times Grand Slam champion defeated Sorana
Cirstea in the first round (6-1, 6-1) and then Ekaterina Aleksandrova (6-1,
6-4). The quarterfinals were against
Victoria Azarenka (6-4, 6-0). She
subsequently advanced directly to the final after Karolina Pliskova's
withdrawal. If Swiatek wins this final, she will beat
Elena Rybakina for the first time since 2021. Whatever the outcome this is a must watch. It's a final between 2 of the best players on the WTA Tour.
List of previous meetings (including exhibitions)
[21.12.2023
World Tennis League (exhibition special rules)
Swiatek I. - Rybakina E. 1-0]
17.05.23
Rome Swiatek I. withdraws at 1-1 handing the win to
Rybakina E.18.03.23
Indian Wells Swiatek I.-
Rybakina E. 0-2
22.01.23
Australian Open Swiatek I. -
Rybakina E. 0-2
[24.12.22 World Tennis League (exhibition normal rules) Swiatek I.- Rybakina E. 0-2]
24.09.21
Ostrava Swiatek I. - Rybakina E. 2-0
Our prediction: this will go to 3 sets.